Nils Gilman
"If 40-70% of humanity ends infected with covid-19 (of which 30-70% are asymptomatic), and the death rate (for the symptomatic) is 1-3%, then the total fatalities worldwide for coronavirus will be between 10m and 100m, and between 400k and 5m in the United States".
Juan Gaspard
"70% of the world population is5.5 billion, with a death rate of 6% due to lack of resources meds and overloaded medical systems = 328 million dead, 1/23 of the population, and thats a Moderate number, if it goes to 15-25% due to starvation disease and pestilence, that number will turn into almost 2 billion, and this is not inconceivable, Think Africa, Think South America, Indonesia, Venezuela, Croatia, The Ukraine, Bulgaria, these small poor nations with Socialized healthcare".
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/25/cdc-says-americans-should-brace-significant-disruptions-amid-warnings-coronavirus
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/25/cdc-says-americans-should-brace-significant-disruptions-amid-warnings-coronavirus